BookAuthorDateRatingReview
Distressed Debt Analysis: Strategies for Speculative InvestorsStephen Moyer20045Everyone else who wrote a book about distressed debt investing should have stayed home while Stephen Moyer was writing. This book is that good.

The problem with Edward Altman books is the focus on statistical information about bankruptcy and default, and the paucity of information about investing and trading. That is probably because Altman is an academic, not a practitioner, and Moyer fixes that problem. Moyer's book is rich with detailed instructions about how to approach and analyze distressed investing situations.

I would like to see Moyer write an entire book of distressed situation case studies. He should group it around themes - capital structure arbitrage, straight-up debt purchases - and present the contemporaneous resarch reports as well as retrospective analysis.

Bankruptcy Investing - How to Profit From Distressed CompaniesBen Branch2007
Bankruptcy and Related Law in a Nutshell (Nutshell Series)David Epstein2005
Creating Value Through Corporate Restructuring: Case Studies in Bankruptcies, Buyouts, and BreakupsStuart Gilson2001
Corporate Financial Distress and Bankruptcy: Predict and Avoid Bankruptcy, Analyze and Invest in Distressed Debt , 3rd EditionEdward Altman20054A thorough primer on the field by New York University professor Ed Altman. This is the third edition and reflects the changes made by the Bankruptcy Abuse Prevention and Consumer Protection Act of 2005 (BAPCPA). Altman books and papers are consistently packed with data tables and charts: historical default rates, historical recovery rates, a list of US distressed debt and equity managers as of 2005, etc. There is a 15-page bibliography of papers and books covering all of the topics in the book.

Did you know that an “important determinant of ultimate recovery rates is the amount of junior liabilities that a given seniority has below its level”? And you may know that default rates and recovery rates are inversely related, but “simply estimating the level or change in GDP does not come close to matching the explanatory power of the default rate, at least for explaining bond recovery rates.” Also amazing: “in 68 percent of the Chapter 7 cases [in a study by Bris, Welch, and Zhu (2004)] the bankruptcy fees “ate” the entire estate.”

Discussion of investing strategies has 5 pages on capital structure arbitrage. Altman's works on distressed debt are more theoretical – for practical trading and investing ideas, turn to Moyer's Distressed Debt Analysis.

The Vulture Investors, Revised and UpdatedHilary Rosenberg2000
Restructuring and Workouts: Strategies for Maximising ValueBen Larkin20053The author is the head of the restructuring and insolvency department of Berwin Leighton Paisner LLP, which is a London law firm. Consequently, there are two things to know about this book: its focus is on on legal issues, not investing per se, and its scope is very international. There are several chapters about
Distressed Investment Banking - To the Abyss and BackHenry Owsley2005
Bankruptcy And Debtor/creditor: Examples And Explanations (Examples & Explanations)Brian Blum2006
Chapter 11 Business Reorganizations: For Business Leaders, Accountants And LawyersMyles Alderman2006
Distressed Securities: Analyzing and Evaluating Market Potential and Investment RiskEdward Altman1999
Bankruptcy, Credit Risk, and High Yield Junk BondsEdward Altman20023A collection of academic papers by NYU prof Edward Altman, including many that were written with coauthors.

The book starts with a paper revisiting his famous Z-Score bankruptcy prediction model from 1968. The Type II error of the Z-Score model (classifying a firm as failing when it does NOT fail) is surprisingly high, until you understand that the model was created to minimize Type I error. Short sellers beware as this means you cannot rely on the Z-Score as a good candidate.

Chapter 6 is “Managing a Return to Financial Health” by Altman and James La Fleur, who used the Z-score model to create a recovery strategy for GTI Corporation during the 1970s.

Distress Investing: Principles and Technique (Wiley Finance)Martin Whitman2009
Recovery Risk: The Next Challenge in Credit Risk ManagementEdward Altman2005
High-Yield Bonds: Analysis and Risk AssessmentCFA Institute1990
The High-Yield Debt Market: Investment Performance and Economic ImpactEdward Altman1998
Loan Workouts and Debt for Equity Swaps: A Framework for Successful Corporate Rescues (Wiley Finance)Subhrendu Chatterji2001
Distressed Debt Trading: Understanding International and Domestic Secondary MarketsKarol Denniston2000
Best Practices for Distressed Company Workouts: Leading Lawyers on Evaluating Alternatives, Assembling a Workout Team, and Forecasting Possible Outcomes (Inside the Minds)Aspatore Books Staff2008
High Yield Bonds: Market Structure, Valuation, and Portfolio StrategiesTheodore Barnhill1999
Standard & Poor's Fundamentals of Corporate Credit AnalysisBlaise Ganguin2004
Analyzing Investment Opportunities in Distressed and Bankrupt CompaniesThomas Bowman1991
Leveraged Finance: Concepts, Methods, and Trading of High-Yield Bonds, Loans, and Derivatives (Frank J. Fabozzi Series)Frank Fabozzi2009
High-Yield Bonds: Identifying Value and Assessing Risk of Speculative Grade SecuritiesMartin Fridson1989
Inside the Yield Book: The Classic That Created the Science of Bond Analysis, New EditionSidney Homer2004
Corporate Bankruptcy: Tools, Strategies, and AlternativesGrant Newton2003

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